Election Day Is On The Way

Election Day is now just five weeks away and while time will fly from here...momentum on the right might just do the same. On Friday, I made the case as to why a Republican wave was still on the table, and everything we’ve seen informationally since could be presented as supporting evidence. President Biden’s approval rating continues to fall, Republican fortunes in key senate races across the country continues to climb. Generic ballot polls which favored Democrats weeks ago have since flipped the script. There’s no doubt but that there’s growing political momentum on the right, and at just the right time. Consider these generic ballot poll changes from key pollsters from one poll to the next. ABC News/Washington Post: D+1 to R+5. Politico/Morning Consult D+5 to D+2. Economist/YouGov: D+5 to R+1, Monmouth D+3 to R+2. Across those four pollsters that’s an average shift of five points towards Republicans from one polling sample to the next. Those are huge political shifts in a short period of time. And they’re all pointing at a significant shift in the political climate in advance of Election Day. And momentum right now matters – not just because we’re five weeks away from Election Day, but because for some voters, it already is Election Day. Voters who’ve signed up for vote-by-mail ballots in 21 states already have them, including in key states like Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. And another fourteen states will have ballots sent out by the end of this week, including Florida. So, with over half of the country already casting votes, having mo’ right now can equal votes. There are five weeks to go to find out what happened on Election Day, but current polling is likely starting to tell you how actual votes have already gone in advance of it...and its good news for Republicans.

Document: Getty Images


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