And as it turns out, common sense may well prevail, and a GOP wave is still on the table. Why am I mentioning this now? As you’re likely aware most pollsters haven’t been very good at polling. But there were two which were exactly right on the generic ballot outcome in the 2018 midterms. ABC News/Washington Post and USA Today/Suffolk. While an average of all polls currently shows Republicans ever-so-slightly favored, the most recent results suggest something more is happening. While it’s been over two months since we received an updated national USA Today/Suffolk poll, ABC News & the Washington Post are out with their latest and it paints the picture of a potential red wave in the making after all. The poll which shows Republicans with a five-point advantage, is actually one point lower than their 2010 poll showing Republicans with a four-point advantage heading into that historic midterm Election Day. In fact, the generic ballot polls are now showing Republicans with an advantage once again for the first time in over a month, and there’s an apparent building of momentum. What this illustrates is that a Republican wave remains on the table as we’re getting down to closing time. In the wake of the SCOTUS decision overturning Roe, I spoke to what I believed was a political miscalculation of sorts expecting that to be the issue which would carry the day for Democrats. The first consideration is that abortions on demand don’t pay the bills and the second is that most Americans don’t think indiscriminately whacking babies in the womb is the best idea running anyway. 72% of Americans support 15-week limits on abortions, a la Florida’s law, which is more or less the standard in states across the country, and those most animated by this issue were always going to be voting for Democrats. You might say that in the final six weeks of this campaign cycle there’s an apparent shift back to life and back to reality
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