So... Who Actually IS Unemployed?

So, anyway, who is unemployed? 

The demographics tell a much more instructive story about what's really going on in our labor market. 

As I do monthly, here are the government reported unemployment rates and my adjusted rate based on demographics:     

  • Asians: 3.1 percent 

    • Down .6 percent   

  • White: 3.5 percent

    • Down .2 percent 

  • Hispanic: 4.8 percent 

    • Down .3 percent

  • Black: 7.5 percent 

    • Up .5 percent 

Here are the adjusted rates:       

  • Asians: 6 percent

  • White: 6.7 percent     

  • Hispanic: 9.2 percent   

  • Black: 14.4 percent 

Solid progress seems to have been made against unemployment (demographically) -- until we look closer at the area of existing biggest need. 

Despite strong progress being made with all other demographics in October - we saw a disconcerting uptick in black unemployment. It's a bit early to draw a conclusion but it's possible, likely even, that the lingering hurricane impact is hurting traditionally black communities/businesses the hardest. This would likely be Harvey impact centric. 

Let's hope that the snap-back we saw in October's jobs generally continues to produce a delayed snap-back for black adults in November. Inside of an otherwise outstanding jobs report, this was the fly in the ointment. 


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