Hurricane Ian 5PM Advisory

Ian continues to quickly intensify. Conditions in Western Cuba are expected to deteriorate this evening with significant wind and storm surge impacts.

Here's the latest information:

LOCATION...20.3N 83.2W

ABOUT 155 MI...250 KM SE OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...972 MB...28.71 INCHES

Current watches and warnings:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...

* Cuban provinces of Isla de Juventud, Pinar del Rio, and Artemisa

* Englewood to the Anclote River, including Tampa Bay

* Dry Tortugas

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...

* Anclote River southward to Flamingo

* Tampa Bay

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...

* Cuban provinces of La Habana, Mayabeque, and Matanzas

* Lower Florida Keys from Seven Mile Bridge westward to Key West

* Flamingo to Englewood

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...

* Florida Keys from the Card Sound Bridge westward to Key West

* Dry Tortugas

* Florida Bay

* Aucilla River to Anclote River

* Altamaha Sound to Flagler/Volusia County Line

* Saint Johns River

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...

* North of Anclote River to the Suwannee River

* Bonita Beach to Englewood

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...

* Florida Keys from Seven Mile Bridge to the Channel 5 Bridge

* Lake Okeechobee

* North of the Suwannee River to Indian Pass

* Jupiter Inlet to Altamaha Sound

STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide.

*Anclote River to Middle of Longboat Key, FL including Tampa

Bay...5-10 ft

*Suwannee River to Anclote River...5-8 ft

*Middle of Longboat Key, FL to Englewood, FL...5-8 ft

*Englewood, FL to Bonita Beach, FL including Charlotte Harbor...

4-7 ft

*Bonita Beach, FL to East Cape Sable, FL...3-5 ft

*Flagler/Volusia County Line, FL to Altamaha Sound including

St. Johns River...2-4 ft

*East Cape Sable, FL to Card Sound Bridge, FL including Florida

Bay...2-4 ft

*Aucilla River to Suwannee River...2-4 ft

*Florida Keys including the Dry Tortugas...2-4 ft

*Indian Pass, FL to Aucilla River...1-3 ft

WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area in Cuba tonight, with tropical storm conditions expected by this evening. Destructive winds are possible where the core of Ian moves across western Cuba. Tropical storm conditions are expected within the tropical storm warning area in Cuba tonight and Tuesday. Hurricane conditions are expected along the west coast of Florida within the Hurricane Warning area on Wednesday, with tropical storm conditions possibly beginning by Tuesday night. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area by Tuesday evening.

Hurricane conditions are possible in the watch area beginning on Wednesday, and tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area on Wednesday into early Thursday. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area in the lower Florida Keys and are possible in the watch area in the middle Florida Keys on Tuesday.

RAINFALL: Ian is expected to produce the following rainfall through Thursday:

Florida Keys: 4 to 6 inches, with local maxima up to 8 inches

Jamaica: An additional 1 to 3 inches, with local maximum of 5 inches, especially along the south coastal region.

Cayman Islands: 3 to 6 inches, with local maxima up to 8 inches.

Western Cuba: 6 to 10 inches, with local maxima up to 16 inches.

Coastal Southwest and Southeast Florida: 4 to 6 inches with local

maxima up to 10 inches

Central West Florida: 6 to 12 inches, with local maxima up to 20

inches.

Northeast Florida: 6 to 10 inches, with local maxima up to 12

inches.

Remainder of the Central Florida Peninsula: 4 to 8 inches.


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