Brian Mudd

Brian Mudd

There are two sides to stories and one side to facts. That's Brian's mantra and what drives him to get beyond the headlines with daily stories driven...Read More

 

A Potentially Warranted Political Overreaction


As always there are two sides to stories and one side to facts. The fact is many Texans voted for a Republican for the first time in their lives on Tuesday. A highly notable one, Elon Musk, said as much – when he said I voted for Mayra Flores – first time I ever voted Republican. His vote was one of many as Mexican-born Republican, Mayra Flores flipped Texas’ 34th Congressional district Tuesday night. On one hand, she’ll be forced to run again in just a few months to remain in Congress. On another hand the seat she’s currently in won’t exist as currently configured due to redistricting in Texas this fall. But at the same time the implications could be many. It was just in Tuesday’s Q&A I addressed the prospect of Biden’s open border policies backfiring for Democrats. As I said: By a margin of 65% to 28%, recent polling shows Hispanic voters believe the border should be closed and most recently only 44% of Hispanic/Latino voters approve of Joe Biden’s performance – a number that falls to 39% in Florida. Much has been made of the shift to the right by Hispanic voters. Current polling continues to support that notion. Legal immigrants and Hispanic voters generally are rebelling against President Biden and his open border policies. Right on cue was Tuesday’s election result in a South Texas district. Flores didn’t just flip the seat. She won comfortably by eight percent. How significant is that win? Here are the last three election wins in that district... 2016: D+25%, 2018: D+20%, 2020: D+14%. So, here’s a district that’s gone from a 25-point advantage for Democrats six years ago to swinging for a Republican by 8-points today. This trend also supports two key notions on the right. Republicans have been making gains with Hispanic voters. The trend in this district showed Republicans gaining ground in this majority Hispanic district for four consecutive elections, but now, with the flood gates opening. The only thing that might be happening faster than illegal immigrants being ushered in by the Biden administration across our southern border, are the number of legal immigrants flipping their votes to Republicans. Yes, it’s a special election in a district that soon won’t exist as it currently does, but it very much could prove to be a precursor of what’s to come in November.

American and Texas Flag Flying, Texas State Capitol in Austin

Photo: Getty Images


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