Experts anticipate 2019's Atlantic basin hurricane season will have below normal activity.
The current weak El Niño event appears likely to persist and perhaps even strengthen this summer/fall. Sea surface temperatures across the tropical Atlantic are also below normal with an Oscillation index below its long-term average.
Meteorologist Philip Klotzbach said, "we anticipate a slightly below-average probability for major hurricanes making landfall along the continental United States coastline and in the Caribbean."
Klotzbach predictions on the 2019 hurricane season are below:
*The probabilities for at least one major (category 3-4-5) hurricane entering the continental U.S. coastline is 48%. The average for last century is 52%.
*The probabilities of the U.S. East Coast incurring impact in Peninsula Florida averages 28% average. Last equaled 31%
*The Gulf Coast from the Florida Panhandle westward to Brownsville received a 28% average. Compared to last century's number at 30%
*The probability for at least one major category 3-4-5 reaching the Caribbean received a 39% average, last century totaled a 42% chance.
For additional information on previous and current stats, click here: https://tropical.colostate.edu/