2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Released

Experts anticipate 2019's Atlantic basin hurricane season will have below normal activity.

The current weak El Niño event appears likely to persist and perhaps even strengthen this summer/fall. Sea surface temperatures across the tropical Atlantic are also below normal with an Oscillation index below its long-term average.

Meteorologist Philip Klotzbach said, "we anticipate a slightly below-average probability for major hurricanes making landfall along the continental United States coastline and in the Caribbean."

Klotzbach predictions on the 2019 hurricane season are below:

*The probabilities for at least one major (category 3-4-5) hurricane entering the continental U.S. coastline is 48%. The average for last century is 52%.

*The probabilities of the U.S. East Coast incurring impact in Peninsula Florida averages 28% average. Last equaled 31%

*The Gulf Coast from the Florida Panhandle westward to Brownsville received a 28% average. Compared to last century's number at 30%

*The probability for at least one major category 3-4-5 reaching the Caribbean received a 39% average, last century totaled a 42% chance.

For additional information on previous and current stats, click here: https://tropical.colostate.edu/

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