While we can't yet say that it's a sure thing, the chances of an active hurricane season continue to falter throughout South Florida.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Climate Prediction Center is upping from -- 50 to 65 percent -- the chances that El Nino will form by the fall.
Come winter, NOAA is increasing the El Nino probability to a 70 percent chance.
The warmer Pacific water by the equator can lend to a reduction in the number of hurricanes forming, and it can also mean a wetter dry season for us.