Before getting started it's important to point out that this race is a general election match-up but only one of the candidates, Bill Nelson, doesn't have to win an election first. Governor Rick Scott has a primary challenge from Rocky De La Fuente he must win first. While a win is highly likely for Scott, Rocky is showing support of around 20% in the Republican primary race.
That being said, here's the update. Two weeks ago, we had a 46 to 46 tie. Since then, we've had three accredited polls roll in and we're now within a month of Florida's primaries. This is the time that traditionally voters become more engaged in the political cycle. Survey says that Nelson has 44%, Scott 45% and 11% are still undecided/third party.
This remains an absolute toss-up with Governor Scott taking a slight lead again over the past couple of weeks. Barring an unforeseen circumstance, this is going to be another nail-biter on election night for both candidates.
It's worth noting the wild cards that exist with these two candidates. Bill Nelson is a federal politician with a vote pending on the nomination of a potential Supreme Court justice in Brett Kavanagh. How does he vote? How will that vote impact this race?
Rick Scott is our Governor. Clearly, anything significant within our state that requires his attention is a wild card. None the least of which would be a hurricane for example.
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