UPDATE: 8/22 12:30pm

It's looking more and more like a tropical disturbance in the Atlantic could stay clear of south Florida.

The storm just north of the Virgin Islands is disorganized, but the National Hurricane Center says there is a 60-precent chance it could become a tropical depression or cyclone over the next 48 hours.

Most models have the storm veering off and heading north instead of coming near south Florida


A tropical depression could from as the system moves west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the Lesser Antilles and over the eastern Caribbean Sea.

The system could be negatively impacted by the mountainous terrain of Hispaniola and eastern Cuba, however meteorologists believe the system could develop more early next week as it moves toward the Bahamas.


Gusty winds and heavy rainfall are possible across portions of the Lesser Antilles, Puerto Rico, and the Virgin Islands Thursday night and Friday, and over Hispaniola late Friday and Saturday.